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What is ‘value’? Reconciling ethics with scientific materialism

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Back in my first article, I expressed a passion for the intersection of skepticism and ethics. I gather many skeptics have trouble reconciling ethics with a scientifically informed, materialist worldview. I suspect that this metaethical challenge is just one instance of a larger problem concerning the nature of value.

Ethics is just one of many systems of knowledge that centers on evaluative judgments, meaning judgments about which things have value. Our evaluative frameworks shape every moment of our lives, so it’s ironic that we struggle to answer basic questions about value like “where does it come from?” and “do all things have it, or only some?”.

The field of value theory is vast, and satisfying answers are hard to come by. I personally have come to believe we should adopt a robustly realist approach to value, meaning that we should see value as an “objective” feature of some parts of our world.

A colourised engraving of Scottish philosopher David Hume from The History of Great Britain.
Scottish philosopher David Hume presented perhaps the most famous version of the fact/value divide, what’s known as the ‘is/ought divide’ or the ‘is/ought problem’.

I suspect most readers will react to this in one of two ways. Either they’ll intuitively be skeptical, because they see value as subjective, or they’ll agree that value is objective because they hold some sort of religious beliefs where a deity supplies the foundation for objective value. I was taught the first version growing up, so I’ll mostly speak to that perspective here. On the first view, valuing occurs when my mind experiences a value neutral physical world and then applies value to things based on my preferences, like a painter applying color to a blank canvas.

This view of value, which is commonly attributed to David Hume, fits comfortably with the common understanding of scientific truth. It generates an intuitively appealing divide between facts and values. Factual claims are claims about the world itself, and so can be true or false. Evaluative claims are about our feelings and preferences towards the world, and so are neither true nor false. Value is merely a sophisticated mental construct, rather than some objective feature out there in reality, like the spin on an electron or the almond in a chocolate bar.

In the area of ethics, Hume presented perhaps the most famous version of the fact/value divide, what’s known as the ‘is/ought divide’ or the ‘is/ought problem’. It is one of the most hotly contested pieces of real estate in all of philosophy:

In every system of morality, which I have hitherto met with, I have always remarked, that the author proceeds for some time in the ordinary way of reasoning, and establishes the being of a God, or makes observations concerning human affairs; when of a sudden I am surprised to find, that instead of the usual copulations of propositions, is, and is not, I meet with no proposition that is not connected with an ought, or an ought not. This change is imperceptible; but is, however, of the last consequence. For as this ought, or ought not, expresses some new relation or affirmation, it’s necessary that it should be observed and explained; and at the same time that a reason should be given, for what seems altogether inconceivable, how this new relation can be a deduction from others, which are entirely different from it. But as authors do not commonly use this precaution, I shall presume to recommend it to the readers; and am persuaded, that this small attention would subvert all the vulgar systems of morality, and let us see, that the distinction of vice and virtue is not founded merely on the relations of objects, nor is perceived by reason.

The most common reading of this passage is that you can never derive an ‘ought’ claim from an ‘is’ claim, such as inferring from “this object is a gun” to “this object is immoral”. In order to justify the claim that guns are immoral, we need some evaluative premise like “all objects that are highly deadly are immoral”, but the problem then arises where we find justification for that claim, and so on into infinity. Combine this problem with the value neutral model of the world, and it would seem that there is no way to ground “ought” claims. This is why the view commonly entails that moral claims and other evaluative claims either can’t be true or false, or are simply all false, because there is no way to ground them. At this point, the risk of nihilism, the rejection of all valuing, looms large, and the project of fields like metaethics and value theory becomes about salvaging a social basis for grounding moral claims, or at least some pretext for continuing to talk about them.

It’s debatable how much Hume actually held an antirealist view about value, and there are several incompatible interpretations of his famous is/ought problem. Realists like myself will point to Hume’s claims that there are proper objects of valuing and that our moral sense can be improved with training as evidence Hume also believed in something like objective value. Still, the dominant successors to Hume, especially the Emotivists, carried forward the distinctions Hume made, with the result that many today take for granted that we live in a value neutral world and make evaluative judgments about it based purely on subjective preferences.

Several concerns arise with a view like this. One major concern, often voiced by religious conservatives, is that widespread adoption of the Humean view has contributed to the crisis of meaning that many are experiencing in the modern world. The rejection of the previous structure of meaning, one where a god or some other outside force imbues your life with purpose, created a vacuum in many people’s worldviews that remains to be filled, leading to a slide into hedonistic cultural decadence. Schools of thought like Existentialism arose in an attempt to address this absurdity of desiring meaning in an uncaring universe, with mixed results. To avoid nihilism, many of us can get caught up on the hedonic treadmill, where we always seem to need more and more to be satisfied, whether it’s pleasure or some fleeting sense of purpose. The result may be a turn to conspiracy theories and other narratives that return some sense of cosmic purpose.

Similarly, abandoning objective value means abandoning objective morality and the idea that some things are right or wrong whether or not we think they’re right or wrong. Much of the work of metaethics in ancient philosophy and over the past few hundred years has centered on challenges to objective moral truth and attempts to either refute those challenges or construct a subjective system of ethics that can serve as an adequate replacement. For example, moral constructivists argue that we can create reasoning procedures that are suitably fair such that no person could reasonably reject the conclusions of that procedure, conclusions like society must protect everyone’s rights equally. Critiques argue though that constructivist models fail to reach substantive moral conclusions without smuggling them in through implicit premises, which is actually the problem I think Hume was trying to highlight when he first proposed the is/ought divide. So, what do we do if subjective theories of value seem insufficient but we don’t want to abandon valuing entirely? I think the takeaway is to grow skeptical of how we’ve divided the world, and to question how that framing has lead us astray. I lack the space or the insights to provide a complete alternative, but let me point in some directions I hope are helpful.

A starlit backdrop with an outline of a head over it.

First, I think it’s valuable to remember that the universe doesn’t just contain value neutral particles smashing into each other, even if that’s what everything ultimately is composed of. The world contains emergent phenomena, meaning entities that seem to have properties distinct from, and not reducible to, the properties of the particles or whatever that make them up. Your mind, with its internal states of awareness that are only perceptible to you, is a classic example of an emergent phenomenon, and much work has been done on the “hard problem” of trying to explain how minds could emerge from matter. What’s important here is that mind and matter, whatever their relationship, are both “part of the world”. They’re both things about which claims can be objectively true or false.

I worry that describing our minds as “part of the world” can feel jarring to some folks, because they have so internalised the separation between “the world out there” and the space we call “inside us”. It’s understandable, the distinction is intuitive and it has the benefit of quarantining minds, with all their messiness, away from the rest of reality which we can effectively study with our “hard” sciences. Unfortunately, dividing the world this way obscures more than it clarifies.

For example, and painfully abbreviated, suffering is a value-laden state that we all experience directly at many points in our lives. Your access to the suffering is fundamentally subjective, but the fact that you are suffering or not is a claim about the part of the world that is you, and its truth or falsity can be independent of anyone’s beliefs about it. Perhaps you live in a society so oppressive it has fully convinced you that your suffering is really flourishing; it would remain an objective fact that you are suffering.

Furthermore, it is a necessary feature of that suffering that it has some negative value, even if that negative value is outweighed by some other gain. Some suffering may be justified, but all other things being equal suffering is bad and instils in us an obligation by its very existence. The negative value of suffering does not fit the antirealist model of us applying negative value to a value neutral state of the world. Rather the negative value is a feature of the suffering, which is a part of the world, and our perceptions of that suffering and other value-laden states like flourishing give us access to objective moral and evaluative truths. On this view, which I find more intuitive than the antirealist model, it wouldn’t make sense for you to say “I’m suffering, but I’m not sure if there’s anything bad about it or not” or “that person is suffering, but it’s unclear if that matters”.

Therefore, at least one corner of the universe, the one that contains things like your suffering and your flourishing, has parts of it that exist objectively and are objectively value-laden. Attempt by earlier thinkers to exclude minds from the world was appealing, given the difficulties with studying minds scientifically, but it led us astray on this basic fact, and it’s time we find our way back. I believe the upshots are that our lives are filled with robust moral obligations but also with an overabundance of meaning and value. It may be hard to feel it sometimes. We may lose our way and society may twist us to value the wrong things or to value the right things to excess, but there are still things in the world worth valuing, and we’re some of them.

Hilary Evans Paranormal Picture Library: The two ghosts of Muncaster Castle

Cumbria’s stunning Muncaster Castle was established in the thirteenth century although there have been many additions in subsequent eras. The oldest parts are the original Great Hall, and an impressive fourteenth century Pele Tower which is built on Roman foundations. (It is the four-storeyed, crenelated tower to the right of this picture). Defensive, fortified Pele Towers are common in English and Scottish border areas and date from a period when there were frequent border raids.

Hilary Evans Para Pic Library Muncaster Castle
Muncaster Castle, courtesy of The Hilary Evans Picture Library

Muncaster has two ghosts. One is a White Lady who is sometime identified with a young woman named Mary Bragg who was murdered in the early nineteenth century on the road near the main gate. White Lady ghosts are pretty-much a worldwide trope that centre around the themes of premature death, loss and betrayal.

The second ghost is reckoned to be that of Tom Skelton, a sixteenth fool/jester, and allegedly sinister factotum to his employer, Lord Pennington. Tom ‘Fool’ was said to have played malign tricks on travelers, and to have murdered an unbefitting suitor of Pennington’s daughter. The problem is that the earliest written record we have of Skelton’s malicious activities is from an 1825 work by local journalist and editor, John Briggs. Legends truly do last verbally for many years, but this centuries-old gap between event and recording must give us pause.

Unusually for a servant, Tom was painted. There are two copies of the portrait, and their very existence demonstrates that he was beloved or at the very least, esteemed: a painting would have been an expensive enterprise. On an ominous note, the scroll depicted next to Skelton where a person’s achievements would normally be listed just has his last will and testament.

Tom’s portrait at Muncaster is located at the end of a corridor, off which leads a door to a blue/green room called ‘The Tapestry Room’. The room is famously haunted: several times a year it is the site of experience-nights for groups of ghost hunters. Tom’s reputed antics are diverse: they include making the sound of footsteps in the corridor just outside the door.

Psychologist Jason Braithwaite, whose research includes the neurocognitive factors underlying disorders of consciousness (including predisposition to hallucinations, aberrant perceptions, and perceptual distortions) has conducted research at Muncaster. In conversation there, he reminded me that some people are more likely to perceive that a room’s temperature is is colder where the colour is ‘cool’ (green/blue) such as in the Tapestry Room. People are more likely to be alert and nervous where they are channeled without many directional options (such as in a long corridor) and where there are many portraits (which they may subliminally interpret as scrutinising gazes). Jason and his colleague, Hayley Dewe, wrote an excellent article about near-death experiences for issue 25:2 of the magazine called ‘Occam’s Chainsaw’.

To me, Tom’s portrait is not that of a kindly man, but perhaps I’m biased, having heard the unpleasant stories before I knew their relatively late written source. I have slept in the haunted room and didn’t find it unpleasant, aside from the understandble cold (it was a big castle in October in Cumbria, after all).

Much ado about nothing: evidence of the ‘powerful placebo’ is far from convincing

People often ask me who my favourite Doctor Who is. This isn’t as left-field a question as it may initially appear, as I’m pretty open about my status as a long time Doctor Who fan (the answer, in case you’re interested, is that I don’t have one; I adore them all).

The Doctor is one of those characters sometimes associated with the cultural trope the ‘insufferable genius’; a fictional character who is often difficult, selfish, and obnoxious but who is tolerated because they are great at what they do. The website TV Tropes carries a far more extensive range of examples than I could muster alone, and it was while browsing their website recently that I spotted Adam Conover on their ‘insufferable genius’ list. My defensive rant about why the Doctor does not belong on this list, and indeed why so many characters of this stripe are coded autistic, will have to wait for another day.

The version of Adam Conover they refer to is the lead character from the TruTV series Adam Ruins Everything, as played by his real-life namesake, the American comedian Adam Conover. In Adam Ruins Everything, the fictional Conover makes it his mission to disabuse people of common misconceptions, clubbing them over the head energetically with the truth — to their initial disappointment but eventual gratitude.

The last time I intersected with Conover’s work was a few years ago, when the Adam Ruins Everything companion podcast published an interview with Dr Kathryn Hall from Harvard Medical School’s Program in Placebo Studies. Any initial hopes I might have harboured about Adam Ruining the Placebo Effect were short lived, however, as the coverage of the topic was unfortunately wide of the mark.

During the interview, Dr Hall tells Conover:

There’s a growing problem in biopharma and clinical trials where it’s getting more and more hard to beat the placebo response. And this is costing the investors in pharma billions of dollars, [and] it’s leaving patients without treatments

Frankly, I found this to be an astonishing statement from a molecular biologist. If a novel intervention cannot improve on the placebo, the thing you’re “leaving patients without” is a treatment which didn’t work anyway.

Clinical trials are designed to test the specific effect of some intervention. The reason a control group exists is to try and capture as many uncontrolled and non-specific effects as possible — biases, regressions, learned responses, etc — so we can subtract them from them the effects measured in the active treatment group, and thus confidently attribute what is left to the specific effect of that intervention.

That it is “getting harder to beat the placebo,” says only that we’re getting better at capturing those non-specific effects within our control group. One possible reason for this might be better trial design, or better enforcement of existing protocols. This is actually a good thing for patients. Without rigorous controls, we would see drugs coming through clinical trials because of false positives, where patients in the active treatment group appear to improve, but not because of the intervention. Rather the improvement is because of something else going on within the trial; something which may not be there when the same intervention is later used in a clinical setting.

Dr Hall then goes on to talk about placebo effects in surgical interventions:

There have been two notable studies recently, where the surgical procedure failed to beat the placebo sham surgery. […] In the case of the most recent study on shoulder surgeries, a lot of people have these bone spurs that can develop in the shoulder, and they will do arthroscopic interventions where they go in and they use a scope to see where they can remove these growths and clean up the area. And in some cases they do some modest repairs. And in the sham surgery, they go in, they scope it, they just don’t do anything.

To which Conover asks:

When they do that, they found that, in some cases the placebo surgery is as strong or beats the real surgery? Is that what you’re saying?

And Hall responds:

It doesn’t beat [it], there was no statistically significant difference between the sham surgery and real surgery.

Conover is astonished:

Wow! That goes way beyond what I and I think most people think of the placebo effect as being capable of.

The paper I think Dr Hall is referring to is ‘Arthroscopic subacromial decompression for subacromial shoulder pain: a multicentre, pragmatic, parallel group, placebo-controlled, three-group, randomised surgical trial’, published by The Lancet in 2018.

Patients from thirty-two hospitals across the UK who reported shoulder pain for at least three months, were randomised into three groups. Patients all had previously completed a non-operative management programme, including exercise therapy, and steroids. Patients also were excluded if they had a torn rotator cuff.

Group A, consisting of 106 patients, were assigned to receive decompression surgery. This is where they insert a scope into the shoulder, and reshape the shoulder blade by removing material, including removing bone spurs.

Group B, consisting of 103 patients, were assigned to receive arthroscopy only. This is where the scope is inserted into the shoulder, but no other procedure is performed and no material is removed.

Group C were assigned no treatment; they were told they were on the waiting list for an operation, but they didn’t have any surgery.

The results showed there was no significant difference between the arthroscopy-only and decompression groups. That is to say, there was no difference between the sham surgery and the real surgery. Both were better than no treatment, but they weren’t better than each other.

While Dr Hall cites this as an example of the amazing power of the placebo effect, the study actually concludes:

The findings question the value of this operation for these indications, and this should be communicated to patients during the shared treatment decision-making process.

In other words, it shows this operation is a waste of time. 

This is unfortunately common amongst advocates of a powerful placebo effect. What they hail as a win for the amazing power of the mind over the body, is in fact a study which demonstrates that this intervention is not effective, since it works no better than a sham control.

But, both sham and real surgery were better than no treatment, right? So doesn’t that show the fake surgery did improve something? Well, yes and no. From the paper:

Surgical groups had better outcomes for shoulder pain and function compared with no treatment but this difference was not clinically important.

Although the surgical groups were statistically better than no treatment, this does not translate to any meaningful clinical outcome. The patients were technically improved, but practically it made little difference. Moreover, the paper says:

The difference between the surgical groups and no treatment might be the result of, for instance, a placebo effect or postoperative physiotherapy. [emphasis mine]

Yes, it turns out that following surgery, the patients in both the sham and real surgical groups were given postoperative physiotherapy, and this might be responsible for the (minor) improvement in the surgical groups, compared to no treatment.

What Adam Conover exclaims is a “much stronger effect than I thought” actually turns out to be a clinically irrelevant, if statistically significant, difference from no treatment, which can be explained by a parallel intervention — that being post operative physiotherapy.

As is sadly the case with so much other research in this area, the claims made by advocates of the ‘powerful placebo’ fail to stand up to scrutiny.

Yishun: the source of Singapore’s very own “Florida Man” memes

‘The world’s worst superhero’, Florida Man has become one of the internet’s most well-known memes. As the state known for unusual headlines, Florida has become a source of humour for many internet denizens, who share news from the state on social media platforms like twitter and reddit.

The many stories have motivated millions to take on the ‘Florida Man Challenge’, where people Google for Florida Man stories that occurred on their birth dates. Florida has become associated with all manner of unusual headlines, and even international tabloids began using the Florida Man headline formatting style (Hill, 2019).

Like the US, Singapore has its own ‘Florida’ famous for unusual incidents: a residential neighbourhood known as Yishun, which is also ‘memed’ online and associated with bad luck and bizarre incidents. Dubbed the ‘Devil’s Ring’, or ‘Singapore’s Ghetto’ by local bloggers, Yishun has become infamous for drugs, murders, suicides, cat killings; a direct contrast to Singapore’s reputation for safety (Travel Safe – Abroad, 2021). A more recent phenomenon in comparison to Florida, Yishun has garnered attention from local news (Loh, 2017) and foreign bloggers (Awang, 2019). Netflix even made use of Yishun as part of their promotional video for Stranger Things (Lam, 2017).

Google map screen shot of Yishun

Yishun’s infamy is a recent trend compared to Florida’s, though it is not entirely clear why it was picked out over other residential districts. Perhaps it is inevitable – some areas in a country will have more strange incidents than others. ‘Cursed’ locations have been around for far longer than Florida Man has been a meme, from haunted castles to jinxed islands. Across the world, countries have their own unique spots with their own type of misfortune: Japan has Inokashira Park, known for ending relationships, while countless castles across Europe have their own unique ghost stories.

It is possible that many of these places have simply been subject to rumours and hearsay, resulting in a tarnished reputation. Alternatively, some of these places have colourful histories of murder and war, which lead people to believe them to be haunted or cursed, and any incidents that occur only serve to confirm the bias people have towards the place.

For instance, castles with particularly violent histories have the tendency to become famous for paranormal activity, such as Edinburgh Castle in Scotland, or Corvin Castle in Romania (Woodman, 2017). Other places have urban legends cantered around the local religion: in the case of Inokashira Park, the ‘curse’ and its ability to break up couples is attributed to the local goddess Benzaiten becoming jealous of lovers (Spacey, 2014). And of course, there is the Bermuda Triangle, an area in the North Atlantic Ocean blamed for the disappearances of airplanes and ships; a source for a large number of myths and conspiracies that have been the subject of countless books and articles.

Statistics paint a different picture from what internet memes would have us believe. In 2019, Yishun was found to rank only 4th highest in terms of crime rate (Tan, 2019), while an older study looking into preventable crime recorded by Neighbourhood Police Centres in 2016 found that Yishun North ranked 18th and Yishun South ranked 29th out of 36 (Nee Soon Town Council, 2018). Some of its issues, such as animal abuse, are equally prevalent in other residential areas such as Tampines and Ang Mo Kio, but do not receive the same level of media attention (Koh, 2017).

Similarly, Florida is not the den of crime it has become reputed for – in 2020, Florida ranked 21st for violent crime rate at 384.9 per 100,000 people (Stebbins, 2020).

According to Craig Pittman, a Tampa Bay Times journalist and a Florida Man himself, Florida’s reputation for bizarre news headlines can be traced back to the election recount in 2000 (Luscombe, 2019), where controversy arose over the recount of the ballots (Elving, 2018). Florida’s status as a hotbed of strange incidents also may be explained by its open government laws, which makes it easy for news outlets to obtain information for their stories (Munzenrieder, 2015). As the third largest state by population, Florida is home to many immigrants, and its polarized nature – being home to both the very rich and very poor, the very liberal and the very conservative – may be another contributing factor, according to lawyer Roy Black (Alvarez, 2015). The geography with sinkholes and alligator-infested swamplands further contributes to the weirdness of the area (Hill, 2019).

Like Florida, Singaporeans have their own theories on why Yishun was singled out: Ryan Ong of 99.co suggested that the lower population density makes Yishun a more feasible place for covert activities, such as those of a less-than-legal nature (Ong, 2017). Member of Parliament (MP) Louis Ng simply attributes the phenomenon to how bad news sells faster than good news. Of course, there are also those like paranormal investigator Charles Goh, who simply believe that the place is haunted (Geddie, 2020).

A folded newspaper

The average Singaporean on the street seem to agree with the statistics. I spoke to people living within and outside of Yishun, and many do not find Yishun any stranger than other parts of Singapore, even when they were aware of Yishun’s bad reputation. Yishun residents Michael Lim and Ian Fong told me they had not noticed any strange incidents despite having lived in the area for years. Ian described living in Yishun as “calm and peaceful’” and that though he knew of a strange man in the area, he does not consider that too unusual; rather, he jokingly called himself the “weird” resident of Yishun. Neither were particularly offended by Yishun’s less-than-stellar reputation.

Other non-Yishun locals I interviewed were perfectly willing to move in, citing the nearby amenities as reasons. This is backed up by property prices in the area. Prices for residential flats have increased by 31.1% since 2010 (Khandelwal, 2021), and resale flats in Yishun have become some of the most popular in recent years (Koay, 2021). One interviewee, Patrick Kok, wondered instead about the longevity of Yishun’s negative reputation, pointing out how the Bedok Reservoir, another location in Singapore, had gained a reputation for being a suicide spot back in 2013, but is now no longer famed for such (MBev, 2013).

Some Yishun residents are not as sanguine about the meme, however. Eva Tan, a Yishun resident, posted on Facebook on how she was “sick and tired” of being the brunt of jokes, and that some incidents are in fact not the fault of ‘Yishunites’, who are the victims. She believes it is ‘rude’ to laugh at those with weird behaviour, as they might need help (Loh, 2017).

Other residents like Dawn Lim have taken a more active role. She and a group of friends put together ‘care packages’ to deliver to an entire block of residents, as part of their efforts to counter the negative press Yishun gets, and to “make Yishun great again” (Stomp, 2017).

In some ways, these memes can feel like harmless fun. Some have even taken pride in Yishun becoming a ‘modern day meme area’ (Tan, 2019), while Yishunites like Filmmaker Mohd Ridhwan Mohd Yunos see it as entertainment, having contributed to the joke with his video ‘Yishun Resident Evil’ (Paulo & Grosse, 2017). Some haunted locations might have the reverse effect of attracting thrill-seekers or people with an interest in the paranormal, which could boost tourism.

However, Eva raises a salient point: we might be laughing at the problems some people have, instead of taking their woes seriously and providing much needed assistance. One Yishun story in 2020, of a daughter who had stayed by the body of her deceased mother for 5 days (Ling, 2020), highlighted the plight of small, financially-challenged families who might not be capable of reaching out for much-needed assistance, especially if they experience mental health problems.

Like Yishun, the prevalence of unusual stories in Florida reveals deeper underlying issues. Florida is ranked 5th in terms of income inequality (Martin, 2018). Counties in central Florida, which tend to be less financially wealthy, were found to produce a larger quantity of Florida Man stories compared to the south, which is much wealthier (Luscombe, 2019). This difference in financial ability might be linked to the tendency towards drug use and the lack of mental health care faced by some Florida headliners – Florida ranks 8th in terms of prevalence of mental illness, but near the bottom at 48th when it came to access to mental care (Mental Health America, 2021).

Sometimes, in our entertainment, we forget the genuine struggles these real people go through that led to these incidents, and the pain and loss of the victims. Perhaps with all the strange news, we have become desensitised, and become less able to see that some superficially wacky tales involve truly problematic stories.

The negative side of the Florida Man meme was not lost on Freddie Campion, the creator of the @_FloridaMan Twitter account. Campion became uneasy over what the account had become as people began sharing more mean-spirited stories and grew increasingly worried as he became more aware of the real-world consequences of social media. He briefly stopped posting in 2017, not wanting to make fun of people on the ‘worst day of their lives’, before eventually retiring the account in 2019 (Hill, 2019).

Yishun’s reputation might end up a passing fad before another area eventually takes its place. Ultimately, while we might find entertainment in news from Florida or your own local ‘cursed’ area, we need to keep in mind the deeper reasons behind their infamy. Even as social media bombards us with sensationalist news, it is important not to become desensitised to the lives of the real people behind these stories.

Perhaps, like certain residents of Yishun who deliver anonymous care packages, we could generate our own good press instead, and become the heroes our local cursed towns need.

References

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  • Awang, N. (2019, Dec 27). S’pore-based Japanese vlogger scores surprise hits with videos on Yishun, HDB flats. Retrieved from today online: https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/spore-based-japanese-vlogger-scores-surprise-hits-videos-yishun-hdb-flats
  • Chayes, M. (2021, Apr 11). Woman arrested in deadly hit-run of LI federal Judge Sandra J. Feuerstein in Florida. Retrieved from Newsday: https://www.newsday.com/long-island/crime/us-district-judge-hit-and-run-killed-florida-feuerstein-1.50210615
  • Elving, R. (2018, Nov 12). The Florida Recount Of 2000: A Nightmare That Goes On Haunting. Retrieved from NPR: https://www.npr.org/2018/11/12/666812854/the-florida-recount-of-2000-a-nightmare-that-goes-on-haunting
  • Geddie, J. (2020, Oct 30). In safe Singapore’s ‘cursed’ town, ghosts and odd happenings. Retrieved from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-singapore-ghosts/in-safe-singapores-cursed-town-ghosts-and-odd-happenings-idUKKBN27F0EV?edition-redirect=uk
  • Hill, L. (2019, Jul 15). Is It Okay to Laugh at Florida Man? Retrieved from The Washington Post Magazine: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/magazine/wp/2019/07/15/feature/is-it-okay-to-laugh-at-florida-man-2/
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  • Koay, A. (2021, Mar 10). Resale prices show that Yishun could be the best place to buy your HDB resale flat. Retrieved from Mothership: https://mothership.sg/2021/03/hackwagon-yishun-hdb-resale-flat/source/ips/cna_is-yishun-jinxed-or-merely-misunderstood_101017.pdf?sfvrsn=3255710a_2
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  • Stomp. (2017, Jun 12). Kind-hearted Yishun residents strive to #MakeYishunGreatAgain by giving out care packages. Retrieved from Stomp: https://stomp.straitstimes.com/singapore-seen/kind-hearted-yishun-residents-strive-to-makeyishungreatagai-n-by-giving-out-care
  • Tan, J. (2019, Dec 23). [Feature] Is Yishun Truly The Most Dangerous Place In Singapore? Retrieved from uplevel: https://www.uplevel.work/blog/feature-is-yishun-truly-the-most-dangerous-place-in-singapore
  • Travel Safe – Abroad. (2021). How Safe Is Singapore for Travel? Retrieved from Travel Safe – Abroad: https://www.travelsafe-abroad.com/singapore/
  • Woodman, S. (2017, Oct 25). 11 Cursed Sites You Wouldn’t Dare to Visit. Retrieved from Culture trip: https://theculturetrip.com/europe/articles/11-cursed-sites-you-wouldnt-dare-to-visit/

As a skeptic and a dentist, I jumped at the chance to take a dental acupuncturist course

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I’ve been doing this ‘skeptical dentist’ thing for a while now. Before writing for The Skeptic, I was part of the dental panel at QEDCon in 2016 and co-hosted an ‘evidence-based everything’ (currently on hiatus) podcast. So it may come as a surprise to you to hear that I’m a qualified dental acupuncturist.

If you’re still reading, I’ll explain how and why.

As I’m sure you’re aware, acupuncture is the insertion of thin needles into specific points of the body and is a crucial component of traditional Chinese medicine. (TCM) Research has repeatedly shown it to be clinically ineffective. It is pseudoscience. So why would I spend my own time and money learning about it?

Firstly, although I’ve been a dentist for nearly 20 years, I’m terrified of needles. It’s much easier being on the dentist end of a syringe, and I’ll do pretty much anything to avoid being jabbed. I correctly assumed that an acupuncture course is going to involve having needles inserted into you. I also thought that this might help me overcome my fear. It didn’t.

More importantly, though, I wanted to understand what drives people into becoming alternative practitioners and the kind of training they go through to get there. If we want to appreciate what makes practitioners tick, we need to know how they’re taught to think. And what better way to do that than to become one. Fortunately, I found a course that was close by and inexpensive. So, a few years ago, I turned up at a local practice on a cold January morning to have needles repeatedly thrust into me.

  • “Practical Acupuncture for Dentists An introductory course based on Western Medical Principles The British Dental Acupuncture Society 2007 Copyright”
  • “Terms you need to know: Yin & Yang – the positive forces of nature. Chi (sometimes spelt Qi) – the life energy flowing through the body. De-qui – the sensation felt at an acupuncture site during a treatment. Acupuncture points – specific sites on the meridians that are used in treatments. Cun – a measuring unit to identify the acupoints.”

The delegates had a bit of a meet and greet to kick things off as usual with these things. The world of dentistry is a small one, and everyone knew at least three other people on the course. Our lecturer for the day turned out to be one of the friendliest dentists you could wish to meet. Interestingly, they also dabbled in a bit of magic and worked with children and disabled patients.

A hand with lines drawn on it and an acupuncture needle between the thumb and index finger

The introduction to acupuncture touched on the TCM idea of meridians, those mysterious invisible paths of qi energy running through the body, and the ‘Western’ concept of gate control theory. Acupuncture, we’re told, is particularly effective for patients with anxiety surrounding dental treatment. It can dull down the gag reflex and help with jaw problems. This preamble was admittedly light, without any skeptical investigation of the evidence, which is perhaps unsurprising. If you’re on a course to learn acupuncture, you already know it works, right?

Without much further ado, our tutor hands out a variety of needles; we partner up and are let loose on each other. To say that I was nervous about this would be an understatement. Our first effort involves us drawing lines on our hands and inserting needles where they intersect. Despite my concerns, this was surprisingly pain-free.

Within the next few hours, I had inserted needles into various areas of other delegates’ scalps and faces and had the same done to me.  I came away from the day with a certificate, a stock of needles and the assurance that I was now able to go ahead and do this on patients.

  • Acupuncture needles in the back of the head
  • Acupuncture needle in the hand

It probably won’t surprise you to hear that those needles are still in my surgery drawer, unused. The course didn’t convince me that I should be using acupuncture in my clinical practice, but that’s not to say I didn’t learn anything from it.

When we’re looking after patients, we’re using more than just our clinical skills. Within dentistry, especially, there’s a whole raft of other abilities we need to use to make patients feel relaxed and trust us. Quite frankly, most of our patients would rather be anywhere else than in our chair having treatment done, so anything we can do to make their lives easier is beneficial. Not just for our patients but for us as well.

Acupuncture needles in boxes

We know that one of the reasons patients feel a benefit from many forms of alternative medicine is because of the often-extended consultation process, where practitioners will often dig into the social and psychological reasons for their visit.  I don’t think it’s a coincidence that our course tutor worked mainly with disabled patients and children. These patients are the ones that often need the most careful coaxing into accepting treatment. The skills required to do this are often lacking in medical professionals, overlooked in undergraduate training and often ignored when considering future professional development.

Believe it or not, empathising with the people who present to us for treatment doesn’t always come naturally to medical professionals. We’re taught to diagnose, prescribe, and treat, but we’re not taught how to build a relationship with a patient.

But it’s the ability to create those relationships that the acupuncturists, homoeopaths, and other alternative practitioners are often particularly good at, and it is something we can all learn from. While we shouldn’t be learning how to practice medicine or dentistry from alternative practitioners, there may be something to learn from them.

Dental acupuncture is supposed to be particularly good at relieving anxiety around treatment and various types of muscular related pain. These are complex psycho-social issues that are often difficult to treat with physical interventions. It’s here where our non-clinical skills excel and where the benefits (and I use that term in the loosest of all possible senses) of alternative medical practices lie.

So although I didn’t learn a tremendous amount about acupuncture as a clinical intervention, and I certainly wouldn’t recommend it to anyone, I learned a considerable amount about how to approach patients, how to get them on my side and how to make treating them easier for everyone. And that’s invaluable.

Now, who’s going to chip in for my training as a homoeopath?

Psychoanalysis: Science or Pseudoscience? Examining the status of Freudian theory

This article originally appeared in The Skeptic, Volume 16, Issue 1, from 2003.

Sigmund Freud (1856-1939) insisted that his postulations that are collectively known as psychoanalysis formed the basis for the science of psychology. Yet, ever since its beginnings in the early years of the twentieth century, there has been considerable argument as to whether psychoanalysis is even a science at all. Some claim that Freud’s work itself was entirely pseudoscientific in nature, and that later proponents of his theory have done little to revise this state of affairs. Yet, in its approximately one hundred years of existence, psychoanalysis has had a tremendous influence on Western culture, and in spite of all the stones slung in its direction, it still has many supporters around the globe.

Nobel Laureate Sir Peter Medawar (1984) argues that certain, seemingly ‘naïve’ questions are beyond the power of pure science to answer, such as those concerning the purpose of human life. He believes that such ‘ultimate questions’, as well as psychoanalysis with its subject matter of ‘human nature’, belong to the ‘domain of myth’. Indeed it is important to note here that several physical scientists dismiss the social sciences in general as pseudoscientific.

Before assessing psychoanalysis against the criteria of pseudoscience, and for that matter, those of science, it is important to briefly consider what psychoanalysis is, and how it is assumed to work. The diffusion of Freudian theory is fascinating, it having been adopted for application in such fields as history, political science, literature, music and the arts. Further, for many laypersons Freudian theory is synonymous with psychology. Its goals are immensely ambitious, and theory and practice work hand-in-hand. Nevertheless, psychoanalysis is primarily grounded on pseudoscientific postulations that are inherently non-falsifiable.

Central to Freud’s theory is the division of the mind into three levels of consciousness, the first being the conscious. Below this rests the preconscious, which contains most of a person’s memories, and which in modern psychological language is equivalent to longterm memory. Below this lies the unconscious, which is one of the key concepts of psychoanalysis. According to Freud, this contains feelings, desires and memories that are repressed from the conscious because they are too traumatic or painful to deal with directly. One example of this putative repression is the Oedipus complex, which is concerned with incestuous desires. A further assumption of the unconscious is that the material in it is not available to the conscious mind, but nevertheless can powerfully affect behaviour – it therefore follows that repressed memories can result in psychological problems.

Sigmund Freud
Sigmund Freud

A major part of Freud’s theory deals with personality development, particularly from the perspective of sexual behaviour and sexual identity. Freudian theory is divided into four developmental psycho-sexual stages. In chronological order these are the oral, anal, phallic and genital stages. In some of these stages one has to resolve certain ‘complexes’ in order to develop normally. In Freud’s view, mature personality consists of the id, the ego and the superego, which all assume very different roles. The id is considered as the very core of personality, from which the other structures develop. The id is the most primitive structure, solely seeking to achieve pleasure and avoid pain. The superego can be thought of as the conscience of the person. These structures of personality bind together in a complex manner, and in individuals regarded as ‘normal’, they function in an interactive fashion.

Psychologist Terence Hines (1988) proposes several criteria by which a field may be judged as being either pseudoscientific or otherwise. One characteristic of pseudoscientific theories is that they exhibit non-falsifiable hypotheses. Some testable predictions can be derived from psychoanalysis, but they have typically been shown to be untrue. Several researchers, such as Hans Eysenck (1985), have embarked on the experimental study of Freudian concepts (see also Eysenck & Wilson, 1973). For instance, Paul Kline (1968) and Calvin Hall (1954) have empirically investigated the Freudian developmental assumption that toilet-training exerts a great influence on personality. This is based on a postulation that the mother’s training  practices, together with her attitudes towards defecation, cleanliness, control and responsibility, strongly influence the personality development of the child. If this training is strict, then the child may take revenge upon authority figures by being messy, wasteful, extravagant, etc, or alternatively the child may become excessively neat and meticulous and develop a fear of dirt and exhibit overcontrolled behaviours. Hence, the theory can explain post hoc any extent of tidiness or messiness as resulting from strict toilet-training. According to Hall, this theory becomes twice non-falsifiable when the effects of gentle toilet-training are examined – these are indistinguishable from the result of strict toilet training, and once more, both personality styles can be explained post hoc, but neither can be predicted. In addition to the lack of clear logic in Freud’s postulation of the relationship between toilet-training and personality, studies investigating the relationship between these variables have found no relationship between the actual toilet training practices employed by parents and the child’s resultant personality style.

Related to these questionable assumptions of psychoanalysis are two equally questionable methods of investigating the alleged memories hidden in the unconscious: free association and the interpretation of dreams. Neither method is capable of scientific formulation or empirical testing. These methods bear no validity in reality. When these results are taken together with others, it seems plausible to suggest that falsifiability poses a problem for most aspects of psychoanalysis!

Daisie and Michael Radner (1982), ardent advocates of scientific methodology, observe that pseudoscientific proponents are inclined to “look for mysteries”. It could certainly be argued that Freud largely got away with a lack of scientific rigour in his work due to the volatile, obscure and often inaccessible content of the subject matter of psychoanalysis, especially as it relates to human sexuality. Whilst Richard Webster (1995), a radical psychologist, notes that much of Freud’s theory appears elegant and does display internal coherence, he argues that ‘laws’ of human nature are largely covered in mystery, and it is problematic to change this because, in order to investigate ‘human nature’, the power of science is not sufficient. Moreover, many of Freud’s achievements are seen to result from his own charismatic personality and “the heroic myth which he spun around himself during his own lifetime” (p. 9). Freud is sometimes likened to a religious, ‘messianic’ figure, who formed a ‘church’ and obtained a large crowd of followers, not because of the scientific basis of his teachings, but solely because of his authority.

Another of Hines’ (1988) observations was that pseudoscientists accuse sceptics of demanding more proof for their postulations in comparison to that required for more established theorists. But, as Hines puts it, “extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof ” (p.5). Psychoanalysts often argue that clinical experiences are the proof for psychoanalytic theory and thus do not require evidence of the scientific kind, and these are the facts on which their ‘science’ is founded. However, since these data consist of symbolic interpretations of dreams, free associations, and such, in the light of this discussion such claims may be seen to be entirely circular in nature. Hines further notes that pseudoscientific proponents commonly fail to modify their theories in the light of new evidence. A notable example of this is the idea of motivated forgetting, also known as repression. Repression is said to be an active mechanism by which particular memories are prevented from reaching consciousness due to their emotionally painful content. Infantile amnesia, referring to the fact that adults usually have virtually no memories of their infancy, has widely been regarded as evidence for repression. In Freud’s explanation, this is because the period of early childhood is a time when the child is immersed in strong sexual desires, which are largely incestuous in nature. Because these desires cannot be satisfied, frustration follows. For a boy, his sexual feelings towards his mother may cause castration anxiety. Memories of these feelings are repressed when the Oedipus complex is resolved. Such memories cannot be allowed to enter the conscious mind, as there would be a risk that they would cause perversion and psychological damage. The scientific evidence for this notion of unconscious repression is lacking, as is any evidence that conscious thought or behaviour is influenced by repressed memories.

Infantile amnesia is regarded as a real phenomenon, but studies investigating memory and brain have shown that its causes are far from the psychoanalytical explanation. The currently accepted explanation is that infantile amnesia is due to the nature of the brain of the immature organism. A second important variable in childhood amnesia is the development of language, i.e., the limited language skills of young children make it more difficult to memorise information. However, a large body of evidence showing that infantile amnesia is not due to repression, but to the immaturity of the infant’s brain, has not made psychoanalysts revise the theory. Another example of a failure to update psychoanalytic theories is Freud’s field of psychohistory, created for understanding historic individuals. Several flaws in his theorising have been indicated, but again such theories have not been subsequently modified.

a drawing of a brain

What is science, then? How scientific is psychoanalysis? According to Donald Spence (1987), an American psychiatrist, something deserves to be considered as a science when there is a prevalent regard for the data, which is available for all interested parties, and when theory is data-driven and changes in response to new observations. Further, the progress of the theory is cumulative and the original model may serve as a basis for newer models. Finally, the claims are based on evidence rather than on authority. In this view science is immensely democratic. In terms of the above criteria, psychoanalysis fails on every count. Frank Sulloway (1979), a psychologist and historian of science, has actually described psychoanalysis as “a scientific fairytale”. However, the subject matter of psychoanalysis, human sexuality and human nature, are laden with powerful taboos. Webster (1995) argues that to postulate theories concerning such issues requires not only intellect, but also emotional lucidity, something that is not commonly regarded as a characteristic of the scientific mind. Furthermore, to engage in such an activity requires a pinch of rebelliousness, which again is a quality rarely seen amongst those trained in natural sciences. In Webster’s view, scientific ideas should not be judged by their intellectual source but by their explanatory power.

It cannot be denied, however, that Freud’s theory is superlatively ingenious, creative and perceptive. It further provides an initially plausible explanation of many aspects of human sexual behaviour. To dismiss psychoanalysis as being without any intellectual merit or importance would be wrong, and to do so would dismiss all of the many respectable authors who ever wrote in the psychoanalytic tradition.

The majority of psychologists hold that psychoanalysis is a pseudoscience, but perhaps the very business of examining Freud’s work from the scientific perspective is unnecessarily harsh. Hans Eysenck, a hard-core behaviourist and iconoclast of the twentieth century, maintains that for many, Freud’s contribution has not been to the scientific study of human behaviour, but to the interpretation and meaning of mental events. Specifically, Freud pioneered the desire to understand those individuals whose behaviour and thinking cross the bounds of convention dictated by civilization and cultures. It is difficult to dismiss the importance of psychoanalysis as it is so tightly entangled with our cultural history. However, perhaps the most transparent evidence that Freud was wrong is that he is very difficult for us to understand, and much of him remains an enigma – in Webster’s (1995, p. 29) words, “a psychologist who is beyond the reach of psychology, the creator of a movement which has encircled the globe but which has formulated no theory which can even begin to account for its own success”. It seems clear to me that psychoanalysis belongs to the ‘domain of myth’, and while of course myths may be enigmatic, they are not in the least scientific.

References

  • Eysenck, H. J. (1985). Decline and Fall of the Freudian Empire. Harmondsworth, UK: Penguin.
  • Eysenck, H. J., & Wilson, G. D. (1973). The Experimental Study of Freudian Theories. London: Methuen.
  • Hall, C. S. (1954). A Primer of Freudian Psychology. Cleveland: World Publishing Co.
  • Hines, T. (1988). Pseudoscience and the Paranormal. Buffalo, NY: Prometheus Books.
  • Kline, P. (1968). Obsessional Traits, Obsessional Symptoms and Anal Erotism. British Journal of Medical Psychology, 41, 299–305.
  • Medawar, P. B. (1984). The Limits of Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Radner, D., & Radner, M. (1982). Science and Unreason. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth.
  • Spence, D. P. (1987). The Freudian Metaphor. New York: Norton.
  • Sulloway, F.J. (1979). Freud, Biologist of the Mind: Beyond the Psychoanalytic Legend. London: Burnett Books/André Deutsch.
  • Webster, R. (1995). Why Freud was Wrong: Sin, Science and Psychoanalysis. London: HarperCollins.

Why I called for the Brazilian Senate to impeach President Bolsanaro over our Covid crisis

Brazil’s Senate is currently pursuing an investigation of the President and the government’s responsibility for the high Covid death toll in Brazil. The Parliamentary Committee Inquiry was established on April 27th, 2021, and its members have been listening to witnesses, experts and persons of interest, hoping to clarify what actions – or lack thereof – drove Brazil to become the world’s example of what not to do when facing a health crisis.

I was called as an expert in science communication. This was a remarkable opportunity to bring scientific thinking and attitude to the Parliament in my country. I run an NGO in Brazil, Instituto Questão de Ciência, founded back in 2018 to promote science based public policies. Speaking to public officials about science, and how ignoring and denying it can have very serious consequences for the population’s health and wellbeing, has always been part of our mission. I just never thought an opportunity would present itself in such a high-profile and crucial way.

Being a microbiologist by training put me in a very special position during this crisis. My background gives me a solid understanding of the science behind the pandemic, and my experience in science communication and advocacy helps me present this to the widest possible audiences.

Bolsonaro’s government has been denying scientific evidence from the start, even before the pandemic. Our former Ministers of the Environment and of International Affairs were well known climate change denialists; and our still current Minister of Human and Women Rights denies evolution and challenges HPV vaccination. Denialism is not new to Bolsonaro’s cabinet, and it shouldn’t have come as a surprise to anyone that denialism would follow during the pandemic.

I started my deposition in the Senate by pointing out the government’s refusal to acknowledge the severity of COVID-19, its failure to plan ahead for the purchase of vaccines, to hold campaigns for mask wearing and social distancing, but most of all, I focused on the official promotion of miracle cures. Many Senators aligned with President Bolsonaro are sympathetic (when not outright enthusiastic) towards his defense the use of hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin, and other unproven medications. I wanted to take this opportunity to show how science works.

I spoke about correlation and causation. I explained how a clinical trial is run. I talked about the difference between in vitro experiments, animal models, and actual human trials. I showed common fallacies used by denialists to “prove” that drugs or interventions can work, such as the use of anecdotal evidence and confounding factors.

Of course, I didn’t get to convince any of the government-sided Senators, and I knew that their strategy would be to attack the messenger, rather than to dispute the facts. What I didn’t expect, though, was that they would launch their attack days after my deposition. Maybe it took them some time to process what I had said, but, four days after my deposition, the aggression began.

Senator Luis Carlos Heinze, a dedicated defender of the use of “early treatment”, which includes all sorts of miracle cures, went on social media, accusing me of being a “fake doctor”, and of having a very low H-index when compared to that stalwart winner of the Rusty Razor Award, Professor Didier Raoult. I had indeed explained at the Senate that the so-called H-index is a metric (and a not very good one) used for academic productivity, and I am no longer a lab scientist, so although I still publish peer-reviewed papers, most of my work can be found in popular books and news outlets. I am a columnist for one of Brazil’s largest newspaper, I have two radio shows in Brazil’s largest radio station, I publish the only skeptical magazine in Brazil, and I run an NGO. So obviously my work – both qualitatively and quantitatively – cannot be measured by the H-index.

However, we know that facts don’t matter to denialists, so they started a defamation campaign. Other members of Congress joined in, making very funny claims. My favorite is “Natalia Pasternak is not a medical doctor. She never treated a single patient”. Hard as I try, I can’t see anything wrong with that statement. As I am not a medical doctor, isn’t it a good thing that I’ve never treated a patient?

Another very funny claim was that, by speaking against the miracle cures, and comparing it to “grandma’s tea” – a Brazilian expression that perhaps better translates as “a mother’s kiss”, meaning something cozy and comfortable, that will make you feel better regardless of having any real medical effect – I was actually being disrespectful of Native Brazilian traditions! How dare I say that herbal teas, so used by our indigenous population, are pseudoscience? Which, of course, is not what I said.

Even with the defamation campaign, speaking about the scientific method at the Senate was certainly a lifetime opportunity. I hope that it can pave the way for a more permanent interaction between scientists, science advocates and policy makers. I finished my deposition saying that a denialist government and a denialist president are to blame for the 500 thousand lives lost to Covid19 in Brazil. And I quoted Lee McIntyre: Denialism is not misinformation. Denialism is a lie. And we cannot allow denialists in positions of power.

I asked for the President’s impeachment, at the Senate session, during a Parliamentary Inquiry. And I did it with science. It might have been my greatest contribution to my country, as a scientist, as a skeptic, and as a science communicator. I just hope that the importance of this work, highlighted by the pandemic, is not forgotten immediately after the crisis is resolved. Science-based public policies are what can save us from future pandemics and crises. And we are not going to get them by remaining silent when denialism takes over governments. I am glad I had the opportunity to speak up, and the courage to do it.

The much-hyped UAP report’s lack of substance will do little to deter avid UFO believers

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There was a frenzy of excitement last month about the release of UFO data by the U.S. government. Behind the scenes, UFO sceptic Jason Calavito claimed

…the media elite and Congress are being played by a small, loosely connected group of people with bizarre ideas about science. It’s easy to dismiss UFOs as a fantasy or a fad, but the money, the connections, and the power wielded by a group of UFO believers – embedded in the defense industry and bent on supplanting material science with a pseudoscientific mysticism…[that]… poses a danger to America more real than a flying saucer.

It all started in December 2017 with the revelation in the New York Times that the Pentagon had ran a secret UFO investigation program called Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program (AATIP). This was instigated by Senator Harry Reid who enabled $22 million to be given to his mate, billionaire UFO enthusiast Robert Bigelow, to conduct research into ‘aerial threats.’

The former head of AATIP Luis Elizondo then announced he was joining forces with rock musician Tom DeLonge to set-up To The Stars Academy of Arts and Science (TTSA) to promote the investigation of UFOs and related films, television and media.

Furthermore, they released videos of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) filmed by U.S. Navy pilots over the coast of California in 2004. These are of blurry infrared objects darting about that are less than compelling evidence of a forthcoming alien invasion. Indeed, this footage was not even new, as it had been temporarily posted online a few years ago. Nonetheless it became the backbone for a TV series Unidentified: Inside America’s UFO Investigation.


TTSA, after trying to obtain and study alien materials and artefacts, has since dropped its involvement with UFO research to concentrate on entertainment productions, while Louis Elizondo has carved a new career as a celebrity UFO star.

There has been some dispute about the AATIP program over whether the second name of its title stood for ‘Aviation’ rather than ‘Aerospace’ threats, and Sue Gough spokesperson for the Department of Defense asserted that:

Luis Elizondo had no assigned responsibilities for AATIP while assigned to the Office of the of the Under Secretary of Defense Intelligence. He departed DOD in October 2017. We have no comment on any of his remarks.

To believers that just means the Pentagon does have evidence to hide. Surprisingly, even The Guardian uncritically headlined their coverage ‘Whistleblower who spoke out on UFOs claims Pentagon tried to discredit him’ (28 May 2021). On 04 June, The Independent also portrayed Elizondo as a courageous whistleblower. Neither publication mentioned that he has some pretty wild theories about UFOs, including his belief that they come from a different dimension and that the secret Majestic 12 organisation to collect alien saucers and pilots is real, despite it being a long known hoax. On the less(ish) wild side he asserts that UAPs that can travel at 13,000 mph, have no wings, control surfaces, or signs propulsion that pose a real threat to the USA. The Daily Mail, 09 June 2021, quotes Elizondo as saying UAPs have forced U.S. nuclear facilities to go offline and that they are monitoring nuclear power plants throughout the world.

As another red flag, the original New York Times article was co-written by the often-gullible UFO promoter Leslie Kean. Yet, she gets a gushing profile in The Guardian, 14 June 2021, ‘The woman who forced the US government to take UFOs seriously.’ On the day of the release The Guardian had a piece from Cody Nelson in Roswell, New Mexico. He outlines the fact Roswell is a tourist attraction because a flying saucer allegedly crashed there in 1947. He speaks to a few locals and concludes with an anecdote that Air Force Colonel William Blanchard shortly after the crash, after a few drinks, said:

I saw something in Roswell I had never seen before, and I never want to see again.

Well that proves it then. Although in their defence, three days earlier The Guardian did carry a more sceptical opinion piece by Mick West who does not believe all this alien hype because it is based on very little evidence.

The likes of Elizondo, Kean and DeLonge have put the media into an uncritical tizzy based on little more than hype, hope and fantasy. Amongst all the fence-sitting articles or outrightly gung-ho pieces, a New York Post editorial was brave enough to carry the headline ‘UFO “news” is just clickbait’ (04 July 2021). Like Robert Sheaffer they see the gullible public being played:

Connected crackpots and cranks have gotten a few politicians to force the Pentagon to investigate the issue several times and even to hire “believers” for some of the work. One such nut-or-cynic, Luis Elizondo, claims that higher-ups ignore and actively suppress evidence of alien encounters. But the only “evidence” for his claims is a UAP file detailing sightings with no clear explanations.

That’s hardly enough to convince anyone grounded in the real world that it’s time to start making tinfoil hats.

In contrast, Christopher Mellon – who has links with Leslie Kean and was an advisor for To The stars Academy – posted a long blog on 06 July 2021 entitled ‘The UAP Report and the UAP Issue’ where he states:

In my view, the UAP report’s findings strengthen the case for the alien hypothesis by undermining the main alternatives and providing examples of capabilities we cannot emulate or even understand – precisely what one would expect if any of these reports involve genuine alien technology. A fair headline might have been: “UAP Report Strengthens Alien Hypothesis.” Instead, the press reporting seemed to lean in the opposite direction as though there was surprise that the government did not conclude ET is visiting.

Such a viewpoint ignores history. After a wave of UFO sightings over Washington DC in July 1952 the CIA in a memo ‘Flying Saucers’ dated 19 August 1952 noted:

In summarizing this discussion, I would restate that on three of the main theories in explanation of these phenomena, – a US development, a Russian development, and space ships – the evidence either of fact or of logic is so strongly against them that they warrant at present no more than speculative consideration. However, it is important that there are many who believe in them and will continue to do so in spite of any official pronouncement which may be made. This whole affair has demonstrated that there is a fair proportion of our population which is mentally conditioned to acceptance of the incredible.

Nothing much has changed.